Erzgebirge Aue U19 vs RB Leipzig U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
8º
8º
22
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 16 |
6º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 15 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
4 - 1
ERA
25%
20%
55%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
COT
2 - 1
ERA
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ERA
6 - 1
HER
15%
17%
69%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +5 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FCN
2 - 5
ERA
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ERA
1 - 1
HAN
30%
21%
49%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
RB Leipzig U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
LEI
2 - 3
HER
36%
22%
43%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
LEI
22%
22%
57%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 1
DDR
71%
16%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LEI
2 - 2
WBR
67%
17%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
MEP
1 - 3
LEI
20%
20%
60%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | +1 |