Erzgebirge Aue U19 vs Hallescher FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
8º
8º
17
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 16 |
6º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 15 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 4
ERA
45%
21%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ERA
0 - 2
LEI
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CZJ
4 - 1
ERA
25%
20%
55%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
COT
2 - 1
ERA
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ERA
6 - 1
HER
15%
17%
69%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | +5 |
Matches
Hallescher FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LEI
3 - 0
HAL
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 4
DDR
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 1
COT
43%
22%
35%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
CHE
3 - 0
HAL
29%
22%
50%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
LEI
22%
22%
57%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +2 |