Erzgebirge Aue U19 vs Dynamo Dresden U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
8º
8º
15
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 16 |
6º
|
2.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
15 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 15 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 2
ERA
43%
21%
35%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ERA
1 - 2
CHE
45%
21%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 1
ERA
71%
16%
14%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ERA
2 - 1
CZJ
54%
20%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ERA
0 - 2
COT
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
DDR
2 - 3
HER
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
DDR
1 - 1
HAL
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CZJ
4 - 1
DDR
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DDR
0 - 0
COT
51%
22%
28%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
3 - 0
DDR
32%
23%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -2 |