Erzgebirge Aue U19 vs Chemnitzer FC U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
33.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
8º
8º
21
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 16 |
6º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 15 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LEI
1 - 1
ERA
71%
16%
14%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ERA
2 - 1
CZJ
54%
20%
26%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ERA
0 - 2
COT
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HER
2 - 3
ERA
77%
13%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DDR
4 - 1
ERA
54%
20%
25%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chemnitzer FC U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CHE
2 - 2
HER
15%
17%
68%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
CHE
39%
22%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CHE
3 - 0
DDR
32%
23%
46%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
COT
0 - 2
CHE
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CHE
0 - 0
CZJ
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |