FC Erlensee vs SV Steinbach 1920 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
39.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
2º
19º
10º
52
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
65 | 65 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 62 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
60 | 60 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
52 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
49 | 49 |
10º
|
70% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 47 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 46 |
13º
|
52% | |
|
14º
|
45 | 45 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
40 | 40 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
37 | 37 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
37 | 37 |
19º
|
0% | |
|
20º
|
25 | 25 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FCH
1 - 1
FCE
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
1 - 3
BAU
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
EDD
2 - 0
FCE
66%
19%
16%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCE
0 - 1
FRA
12%
16%
73%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
BAY
0 - 0
FCE
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SV Steinbach 1920
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
STE
0 - 3
EIN
28%
23%
50%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
SUF
4 - 1
STE
25%
20%
55%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
STE
1 - 1
RWW
36%
21%
42%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
STE
4 - 2
TUR
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +3 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TSV
1 - 1
STE
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |