FC Erlensee vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
EIN
1 - 2
FCE
74%
15%
12%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FCE
3 - 2
NEU
80%
13%
8%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
FCH
3 - 1
FCE
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
STE
0 - 1
FCE
30%
22%
49%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
FCE
7 - 0
BUC
50%
21%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FER
2 - 2
SGB
17%
20%
63%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAY
2 - 2
FER
70%
16%
14%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FER
2 - 2
FCH
29%
21%
50%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BUC
2 - 2
FER
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
EIN
2 - 1
FER
71%
16%
14%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |