FC Erlensee vs Fernwald analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
51.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
HES
2 - 0
FCE
90%
7%
3%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FVB
2 - 0
FCE
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
FCE
1 - 1
STE
30%
21%
50%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BUC
3 - 0
FCE
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
FCE
2 - 0
NEU
70%
16%
14%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FER
1 - 2
BAU
33%
22%
46%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
FER
5 - 2
WAL
24%
19%
57%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TAM
2 - 3
FER
89%
9%
2%
|
19 | 54 | 35 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
RWW
11%
16%
74%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
EDD
1 - 1
FER
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |