FC Erlensee vs Dietkirchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
7º
17º
17º
24
16º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Erlensee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FCE
2 - 3
EIN
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 3
STE
65%
19%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 2
FCE
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 2
BAU
32%
23%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
HUN
4 - 2
FCE
39%
24%
38%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Dietkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RWW
3 - 3
DIE
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DIE
3 - 1
BAY
10%
15%
75%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +4 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SVA
2 - 1
DIE
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIK
1 - 3
DIE
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
0 - 2
GIE
10%
16%
74%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | -1 |