FC Elva vs Tallinna Kalev II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
5º
4º
10
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 85 |
1º
|
92.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 75 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 67 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 55 |
5º
|
46.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 51 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 40 |
7º
|
61.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 35 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 25 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 14 |
10º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 88% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
NOM
4 - 1
FCE
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FCE
1 - 0
VJK
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
WEL
2 - 5
FCE
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
FAT
1 - 2
FCE
24%
22%
54%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FCE
2 - 2
LEV
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tallinna Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
TKA
0 - 3
FCT
38%
24%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2025 |
FLO
2 - 2
TKA
75%
15%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
NOM
4 - 0
TKA
67%
18%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2025 |
TKA
6 - 0
VHP
89%
8%
4%
|
58 | 7 | 51 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
TKA
1 - 2
WEL
28%
23%
49%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |