FC Elva vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
8º
8º
25
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 2
TKA
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LEV
3 - 0
FCE
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
FCE
74%
15%
11%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 0
WEL
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FAT
2 - 1
FCE
42%
23%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 6
WEL
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
TAB
0 - 1
PAI
63%
18%
19%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 1
TKA
38%
23%
39%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 0
PAI
71%
16%
14%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 2
FCT
37%
22%
41%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |