FC Elva vs Harju JK Laagri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
8º
8º
78
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 2
FCE
49%
22%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 3
LEV
24%
24%
53%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 0
FCE
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
FCT
4 - 0
FCE
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FCE
0 - 2
VJK
23%
26%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Harju JK Laagri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
HJP
1 - 1
FCT
58%
21%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
HJP
6 - 0
PAI
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
VJK
2 - 2
HJP
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
FLO
1 - 1
HJP
50%
23%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HJP
4 - 3
TAB
73%
16%
11%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |