Hoyo de Pinares vs Casillas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.8%
16%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoyo de Pinares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LAS
2 - 0
HOY
59%
18%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HOY
2 - 3
CEB
51%
20%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
4 - 0
HOY
57%
19%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
NAV
0 - 3
HOY
16%
17%
67%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
HOY
4 - 1
BUR
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Casillas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
3 - 3
MIJ
75%
14%
11%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
CAS
32%
21%
47%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
4 - 2
PIE
60%
19%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
ATL
14%
18%
68%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 3
LAS
18%
17%
65%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |