FC Eindhoven vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
60.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 3
VVV
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
JUT
0 - 4
EIN
16%
23%
61%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 0
PSV
40%
25%
35%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
HEL
3 - 4
EIN
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
EIN
1 - 1
MVV
35%
26%
40%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 0
VOL
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FCE
1 - 1
EXC
35%
26%
40%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
EXC
2 - 0
JON
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
JUT
0 - 0
EXC
7%
16%
77%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
BOS
0 - 3
EXC
22%
23%
55%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |