FC Eindhoven vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
MVV
3 - 2
EIN
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
EIN
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
EIN
1 - 2
ALM
68%
18%
14%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
FCE
2 - 2
EIN
25%
24%
50%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2012 |
EIN
1 - 4
GAE
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 0
TEL
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
GRA
39%
26%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
BVO
3 - 2
EXC
74%
16%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
2 - 1
SPA
20%
23%
56%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
ALM
2 - 1
EXC
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |