FC Eindhoven vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
BOS
1 - 1
EIN
64%
20%
16%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
EIN
2 - 3
VOL
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
GRA
3 - 0
EIN
67%
19%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
EIN
4 - 3
MVV
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
EIN
2 - 1
BVV
51%
23%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2009 |
HEL
3 - 1
EXC
46%
26%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 0
BVV
64%
20%
16%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
BOS
2 - 3
EXC
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 2
TEL
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
EXC
1 - 0
HEL
55%
23%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |