FC Eindhoven vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
44.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
FCE
1 - 2
EIN
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
HER
3 - 0
EIN
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
EIN
1 - 1
APE
46%
24%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
VVV
3 - 2
EIN
51%
23%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
EIN
1 - 3
GAE
36%
24%
40%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 0
VVV
68%
18%
15%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 0
MVV
78%
14%
8%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2003 |
APE
0 - 2
EXC
32%
24%
44%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 1
TEL
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2003 |
EXC
4 - 2
FCD
76%
15%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |