Dushanbe-83 vs Istiklol Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
64.8%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dushanbe-83
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
FCD
0 - 1
FCF
49%
23%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
FKK
3 - 1
FCD
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
RAV
2 - 0
FCD
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CSK
4 - 0
FCD
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
FCD
1 - 2
FKE
43%
22%
34%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
FKE
0 - 3
IST
27%
20%
54%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
IST
3 - 1
CSK
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
IST
0 - 0
KHU
59%
19%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
IST
0 - 1
IST
32%
22%
46%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
IST
1 - 0
VAK
70%
17%
14%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |