Dushanbe-83 vs Istiklol Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.3%
83.4%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
12%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.7%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
12.3%
0-5
5%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.7%
0-6
2.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.1%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dushanbe-83
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CSK
3 - 1
FCD
59%
21%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 0
LOP
55%
20%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FCF
1 - 1
FCD
48%
22%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2020 |
FCD
1 - 1
VAK
40%
23%
38%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
FKK
2 - 2
FCD
69%
17%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
FKK
1 - 1
IST
10%
17%
74%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CSK
1 - 0
IST
9%
17%
75%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VAK
1 - 1
IST
8%
16%
76%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2020 |
IST
6 - 1
REG
85%
11%
5%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
IST
1 - 2
IST
7%
15%
78%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |