Dushanbe-83 vs Fayzkand analysis


31	ELO	34
-0.2%	Tilt	-1.5%
43916º	General ELO ranking	43917º
27º	Country ELO ranking	28º
ELO win probability

40.9%

Dushanbe-83

21.7%

Draw

37.4%

Fayzkand

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

40.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.88
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%

21.7%

Draw

0-0

2.5%

1-1

8.6%

2-2

7.2%

3-3

2.7%

4-4

0.6%

5-5

0.1%

0

21.7%

37.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%