UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
First leg 0-2
FC Drita vs Kobenhavn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
60.5%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Drita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
FCK
2 - 0
FCD
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
DIF
2 - 3
FCD
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
FCD
1 - 0
DIF
39%
24%
37%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2025 |
SFC
1 - 3
FCD
66%
20%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
SIL
2 - 2
FCD
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Kobenhavn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2025 |
FCK
2 - 0
FCD
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
VFF
2 - 3
FCK
43%
25%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 0
HSV
21%
21%
58%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 1
FRE
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2025 |
SPA
1 - 0
FCK
42%
24%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |