Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-3
FC Drita vs F91 Dudelange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Drita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
F91
2 - 1
FCD
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
MFF
2 - 0
FCD
58%
25%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
FCD
0 - 3
MFF
37%
26%
38%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2018 |
LRI
1 - 4
FCD
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2018 |
SCO
0 - 2
FCD
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
F91
2 - 1
FCD
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
FHV
2 - 1
F91
50%
23%
27%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2018 |
F91
1 - 1
FHV
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
F91
3 - 2
USH
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
DIF
0 - 6
F91
38%
24%
37%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |