Eredivisie - Play Offs Ascenso Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Dordrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
FCD
2 - 0
GRA
44%
23%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2025 |
GRA
0 - 0
FCD
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
FCD
4 - 1
VOL
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
JUT
1 - 0
FCD
8%
18%
74%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
FCD
3 - 0
MVV
62%
21%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2025 |
NAC
1 - 1
WIL
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
WIL
1 - 2
ZWO
40%
24%
36%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
WIL
1 - 2
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
NEC
1 - 1
WIL
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 0
WIL
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |