Dordrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
42.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FEY
2 - 0
FCD
74%
17%
10%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
FCD
0 - 4
TWE
23%
25%
53%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AJA
4 - 0
FCD
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
VIT
2 - 1
FCD
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2014 |
ADO
2 - 0
FCD
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 1
EXC
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
ADO
3 - 2
WIL
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 1
BVO
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HER
1 - 3
WIL
45%
25%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
WIL
1 - 4
VIT
35%
24%
41%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |