Dordrecht vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
FCE
1 - 1
FCD
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
FCD
0 - 0
VOL
45%
24%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
RBC
3 - 2
FCD
19%
24%
57%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2011 |
FCD
2 - 1
FCE
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
FCD
1 - 1
GAE
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
WIL
1 - 1
GAE
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
BVV
1 - 3
WIL
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
WIL
0 - 1
NAC
22%
23%
56%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TWE
4 - 0
WIL
78%
16%
6%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 1
AZA
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 85 | 31 | +1 |