Dordrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
76.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
FCE
2 - 1
FCD
83%
13%
4%
|
42 | 72 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
FCD
2 - 5
RJC
14%
21%
65%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
ADO
5 - 1
FCD
81%
14%
5%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
FCD
0 - 4
GRA
7%
16%
77%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
EIN
5 - 1
FCD
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 4
GRO
40%
23%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
MVV
72%
18%
11%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
ALK
0 - 2
EXC
18%
21%
62%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
JUT
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
HEL
1 - 5
EXC
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | +1 |