Dordrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 2
FCD
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
PSV
3 - 0
FCD
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
FCD
1 - 1
GRA
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VOL
2 - 2
FCD
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
FCD
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 1
EXC
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 4
ZWO
29%
24%
47%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 2
FCE
58%
22%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
69%
18%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |