Dordrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2010 |
BVV
2 - 1
FCD
38%
26%
37%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
BVO
3 - 0
FCD
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
FCD
0 - 1
FCO
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
GAE
1 - 2
FCD
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2010 |
FCD
1 - 3
BOS
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
EXC
3 - 0
MVV
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2010 |
TEL
1 - 2
EXC
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
EXC
4 - 4
FCO
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
GRA
3 - 1
EXC
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
EXC
3 - 0
BVO
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |