Dordrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
FCD
3 - 0
GEM
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
BVV
2 - 0
FCD
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
FCD
0 - 1
APE
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
FCD
0 - 1
VOL
36%
26%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
GRA
1 - 1
FCD
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 5
NEC
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 4
VVV
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 0
MVV
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
HFC
0 - 0
EXC
27%
25%
49%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 1
ZWO
51%
23%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |