Dordrecht vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
FCD
0 - 3
TEL
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
FOR
0 - 3
FCD
22%
24%
54%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
FCD
5 - 0
FCE
65%
21%
15%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2009 |
GRA
2 - 0
FCD
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
VOL
3 - 3
FCD
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AZA
2 - 4
AJA
26%
24%
51%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
AJA
2 - 1
DZG
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AJA
4 - 0
WIL
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
RJC
2 - 2
AJA
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
AND
1 - 1
AJA
43%
24%
33%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |