Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 2-0
Dila Gori vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
HKS
0 - 1
GOR
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
AAB
0 - 0
GOR
43%
26%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
GOR
3 - 0
AAB
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
GOR
4 - 0
CHI
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
FTK
5 - 4
GOR
44%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
HKS
2 - 1
HDR
79%
16%
6%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
HKS
0 - 1
GOR
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SPL
0 - 3
HKS
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
HTR
1 - 1
HKS
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
HKS
1 - 1
RIJ
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |