UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 0-3
Dila Gori vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dila Gori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
GOR
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
GOR
3 - 0
WIT
70%
20%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MER
1 - 1
GOR
22%
28%
51%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 1
GOR
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
GOR
1 - 0
KOL
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
4 - 0
MET
82%
14%
5%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 0
GOR
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
PAR
4 - 1
VAS
72%
17%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
TER
0 - 1
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 1
MOR
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |