FC Deren vs Tuv Azarganuud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
KHC
1 - 2
DER
20%
19%
61%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
DER
1 - 1
ERC
40%
22%
39%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BSI
0 - 3
DER
20%
19%
61%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
DER
2 - 0
HFC
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
DER
2 - 0
ULA
46%
22%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tuv Azarganuud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
TBF
2 - 1
KHO
17%
16%
67%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
KHA
5 - 1
TBF
84%
10%
6%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
KHC
4 - 2
TBF
68%
16%
17%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2025 |
TBF
0 - 2
ERC
14%
14%
72%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TBF
1 - 20
BSI
53%
19%
28%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -3 |