FC Deren vs Brera Ilch FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HFC
0 - 3
DER
10%
15%
75%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
KHC
1 - 3
DER
17%
18%
65%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
ULA
52%
21%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BSI
0 - 1
DER
14%
17%
69%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
DER
12 - 0
BFC
86%
10%
5%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Brera Ilch FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BSI
0 - 2
KHO
22%
18%
60%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
BSI
2 - 4
KHA
13%
16%
71%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
ERC
2 - 5
BSI
83%
11%
7%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
BSI
0 - 1
DER
14%
17%
69%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TBF
2 - 3
BSI
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 29 | 16 | +2 |