Denderleeuw vs Excelsior Virton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denderleeuw
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
LIE
2 - 1
DEN
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
DEN
0 - 0
KFC
45%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
DEN
2 - 1
TIE
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
EUP
1 - 1
DEN
71%
17%
11%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
DEN
5 - 0
DES
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior Virton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 2
VWH
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
EXC
1 - 2
EUP
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
DES
0 - 4
EXC
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
EXC
4 - 0
ZUL
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
RON
1 - 1
EXC
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |