Den Bosch vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.9%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.7%
81.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
17.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
13.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
BOS
1 - 4
JUT
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
HEL
1 - 0
BOS
25%
24%
52%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
TEL
1 - 0
BOS
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
BOS
0 - 2
VVV
40%
24%
36%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2022 |
JON
4 - 4
BOS
65%
20%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
NEC
1 - 1
AJA
11%
18%
72%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 4
VOL
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AJA
0 - 2
BBU
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FCE
3 - 3
AJA
12%
19%
70%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 2
VIT
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |