FC Den Bosch U18 vs Excelsior U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
2º
7º
7º
9
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
34 | 34 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Den Bosch U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 2
FDB
15%
18%
67%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
FDB
1 - 2
VIT
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FDB
1 - 3
NAC
72%
16%
12%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HRV
0 - 2
FDB
13%
16%
71%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FDB
2 - 2
GRA
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 2
NAC
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
VIT
8 - 1
EXC
69%
16%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRO
39%
21%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
EXC
2 - 7
HRV
69%
16%
15%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
NAC
6 - 1
EXC
50%
21%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |