FC Daugava vs Ilukstes NSS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
FCJ
1 - 2
FCD
16%
20%
64%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2013 |
FCD
0 - 3
VEN
36%
25%
39%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FCD
0 - 0
VEN
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GUL
1 - 3
FCD
12%
21%
68%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
FCD
2 - 0
FCJ
64%
23%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Ilukstes NSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
VEN
8 - 2
ILU
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2013 |
ILU
1 - 0
FCJ
23%
23%
54%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ILU
2 - 1
LIE
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FKT
2 - 4
ILU
25%
22%
53%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ILU
3 - 0
VAL
59%
20%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |