FC Daugava vs Ilukstes NSS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2013 |
FCJ
0 - 1
FCD
18%
23%
60%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
FSM
1 - 2
FCD
12%
20%
68%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCD
1 - 4
FCS
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
VEN
4 - 0
FCD
42%
25%
34%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FKS
0 - 2
FCD
23%
24%
54%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ilukstes NSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2013 |
LIE
2 - 1
ILU
88%
9%
3%
|
52 | 78 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
FKD
4 - 0
ILU
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
ILU
1 - 1
FSM
47%
24%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FKJ
2 - 2
ILU
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
FCJ
1 - 1
ILU
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |