FC Daugava vs BFC Daugavpils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
FSM
0 - 1
FCD
12%
22%
66%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FCD
0 - 1
FCS
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FKD
1 - 4
FCD
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
FCD
1 - 0
FKJ
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
FCJ
1 - 1
FCD
14%
23%
63%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
BFC Daugavpils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
BFC
1 - 0
FCS
17%
24%
60%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FKJ
2 - 0
BFC
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BFC
1 - 0
FKS
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LIE
5 - 0
BFC
68%
20%
11%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BFC
4 - 1
FSM
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |