Crotone vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
FRO
3 - 1
CRO
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
VAR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
LEO
3 - 2
CRO
32%
29%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 0
AVE
44%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MOD
3 - 0
CRO
48%
28%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
ACD
2 - 0
LAT
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
LIV
2 - 1
ACD
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 0
ACD
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
ACD
0 - 1
VAR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 1
ACD
56%
26%
19%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |