Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Crotone vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
FER
2 - 1
CRO
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CRO
3 - 1
FER
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
CRO
0 - 0
JS2
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
CAS
2 - 0
CRO
23%
24%
52%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2025 |
CRO
3 - 2
USF
70%
18%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
TRE
3 - 1
VIC
17%
26%
57%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
VIC
1 - 0
TRI
73%
19%
9%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
VIR
2 - 1
VIC
20%
26%
54%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
VIC
2 - 1
CLO
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
LEO
0 - 1
VIC
11%
23%
66%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |