Crotone vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
CRO
24%
27%
50%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 1
LEO
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 3
CRO
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 2
PRG
58%
25%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
CRO
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 0
AVE
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
PES
1 - 1
VIC
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 2
VIR
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
VIC
28%
28%
44%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 1
VIC
51%
27%
23%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |