Crotone vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 0
CRO
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CRO
2 - 1
EMP
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
PES
2 - 0
CRO
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CRO
0 - 0
JUS
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
CRO
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
VIC
1 - 1
LIV
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CTT
4 - 2
VIC
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
VIC
0 - 1
TOR
29%
30%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 1
VIC
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
VIC
0 - 1
SAS
35%
29%
37%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |