Crotone vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
CRO
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2015 |
CRO
3 - 1
AVE
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
PES
4 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 1
BRE
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ASC
0 - 1
CRO
27%
26%
47%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
TER
1 - 2
ACD
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
PES
1 - 2
TER
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TER
0 - 3
AVE
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
LAT
1 - 2
TER
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
TER
0 - 1
PRG
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |