Crotone vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 0
CRO
49%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 0
GRO
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CTT
2 - 2
CRO
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 1
SAS
28%
27%
46%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
5 - 0
CRO
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TER
0 - 0
EMP
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
TER
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
TER
0 - 0
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
MOD
1 - 2
TER
62%
24%
14%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
TER
4 - 2
LEO
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |