Crotone vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 0
CRO
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CRO
4 - 2
PES
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
BRE
3 - 0
CRO
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CRO
2 - 0
ASC
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 0
CRO
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 1
PRG
38%
30%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
CES
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 3
VIR
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 0
BRE
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
VIR
30%
28%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |