Crotone vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
CRO
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 0
REG
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
CRO
34%
27%
40%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CRO
3 - 1
MOD
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 2
CRO
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
TER
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 3
VIR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 0
BAR
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
JUS
0 - 1
VIR
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
LAT
0 - 0
VIR
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |