Crotone vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2012 |
CRO
4 - 1
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 2
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
NOC
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SAS
2 - 0
CRO
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
VIR
1 - 2
FER
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SIR
1 - 0
VIR
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
POR
2 - 3
VIR
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 0
PER
50%
28%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 3
VIR
30%
29%
41%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |