Crotone vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ACS
3 - 1
CRO
22%
27%
51%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CRO
2 - 1
MAS
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CRO
2 - 0
JUS
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
POT
2 - 0
CRO
31%
27%
43%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CRO
3 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
12%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
SSS
3 - 3
ARZ
27%
28%
45%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PRG
1 - 0
SSS
57%
26%
18%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
ASL
2 - 1
SSS
49%
27%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SSS
2 - 0
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
SOR
1 - 1
SSS
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |