Crotone vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 2
CRO
28%
28%
44%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 1
ATL
20%
25%
55%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
INT
1 - 1
CRO
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAG
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VER
0 - 3
CRO
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
NAP
1 - 0
SPA
91%
7%
2%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
SPA
0 - 4
ACM
18%
24%
58%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAG
2 - 0
SPA
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SPA
1 - 1
INT
15%
22%
63%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
UDI
1 - 1
SPA
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |